The scientific method in the development of trading systems


Tell me one thing: how do you validate your trading system? How can you be sure that by following these entry and exit signals from the market you will have profitable results? Just because you have executed a backtest and it has given you good results?

In today’s article I propose to rethink your way of working and begin to apply the scientific method as a procedure of development and validation of trading systems.

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What is a Trading System?

why trading systems stop working
 

What is a system?

A trading system is a set of rules that unequivocally define the way to trade one or several financial instruments in order to obtain benefits. Experts say that a trading system only exists if it is written, so that there should not be any ambiguity in the investment methodology that is intended to be applied. The rules must be coherent with each other and can not be contradicted.

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ThinkMarkets Review 2022 – Forex And CFD Broker

Review of the broker Thinkmarkets
Thinkmarkets

ThinkMarkets logo

-ECN/STP Forex and CFD Broker from Australia.

-Regulated by bodies such as ASIC and FCA

-Many trading assets with tight spreads and low commissions

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ThinkMarkets – Forex Broker Analysis

ThinkMarkets is a Forex broker in Australia, which was founded in 2009. The main offices of the company are located in Australia and it has customer service offices located in various countries, including Spain, the UK, and Brazil. Currently, this company is duly registered and regulated by the ASIC (Australian Securities and Investment Commission), the regulatory body of financial services in Australia. This ensures the quality and legality of the services of this broker. ThinkMarkets is specialized in Forex, Contracts For Difference, and precious metals like gold and silver.
In this ThinkMarkets review, we are going to describe its main products and services. We are also going to talk about its regulation and trading conditions among other aspects.

Basic Types of Binary Options

 

Binary options are instruments that are characterized by their simplicity and high profits, which has led to a surge in popularity that extends each day. Most known regular binary options, known as digital options which normally are associated with these financial derivatives transactions. However, binary options brokers offer other types of binary options that any trader should know as they may offer a variety of opportunities.

The main types of binary options are:

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Island Reversal Price Pattern

Description of the Island Reversal

Island reversal is a trend change pattern which forms a gap on both sides. This chart pattern is most likely shown when the market trend proceeds to its last level. The name island reversal is obtained from the fact which the candlestick appearing alone, that is quite alike in the island. This chart pattern explains an increase in the volume amidst the primary gap and the following gap proceeding in the opposite direction.

The island reversal pattern is driven across the pre-market trading and pro trading as well. Generally, the island reversal chart pattern is described as a distinct trading activity that works within a range and moreover it is separated with a move. The separation is resulted due to an exhaustion gap and the opponent direction results with a breakthrough gap.

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Forex Carry Trade

 

The carry trade is a strategy in which an investor sells a certain currency with a relatively low interest rate and buy another currency with a higher interest rate. The aim of this strategy is to get as profit the difference between the two interest rates, a benefit that may become attractive depending on the amount of leverage used. As the profit comes from the interest rate differential, you can make a profit even if the price of the currency does not change a single pip.

Although the Forex market operates 24 hours, is taken by consensus UTC 0 hours as the end and beginning of a new trading day. In Forex trading, at the end of each day is credited or charged to the account of the trader the spread between the interest rates of the two currencies of the currency pair in which the trader have  open positions at this time (this is known as Rollover).

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New Home Sales Indicator

General Definition

The “New Home Sales” is an economic indicator that measures sales of newly built homes. This is a monthly published data, which always refers to the previous month in which the Department of Commerce’s Census Bureau published the report. This report includes both the quantity and price statistics. It is considered a lagging indicator of market demand and also affect interest rates on mortgages.

It is considered as a sale of a new home any deposit or signing a contract, either in the year in which the house was built or the year after construction.

Descending Triangle Chart Pattern

The Descending triangle is a trend continuation chart pattern which usually happens in bear markets while the sellers give pressure to the buyers for holding the orders in the market. Basically, the market rate tends to go up and it gets eventually confined by means of support level. When the rates are usually higher, then the descending patterns will be introduced and the market value will break in order to ensue with the downtrend. This formation is very similar to the Ascending Triangle but reverse. 

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Profitable Tips for Forex Trading

Trading on the Forex can be more complex than it appears to be, and it may take novice traders some time before they have the ability to earn a decent profit from their investments. However, you can avoid most of the mistakes made by beginners simply by educating yourself on how the Forex market works and how to choose currency pairs wisely. Following are several tips for novices and intermediate traders, and a few of them may even be new and helpful to seasoned Forex veterans.

Track Down a Dependable Broker

Having a dependable broker on your side can make all the difference in the world when trading on the Forex, but it may take a little time and effort to locate one. In most cases, the best brokers work for large Wall Street investment firms. However, it is possible to find great brokers with powerful and reliable trading platforms online.

When you have an experienced Forex broker on your side, you will receive the most favorable bid and ask prices, and your trades will be executed quickly if not instantly. In addition, many firms that trade in large volumes will understand the macroeconomics behind each trade. A good broker may also provide access to breaking news that may affect the market and tools to help you conduct research and analyses. 

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What is leverage and Margin Call?

Definition of leverage in Forex

Leverage and margin call are two basic Forex concepts whose definitions may seem unrelated to each other at the beginning. Despite this, the fact is that both terms are closely related so we will explain what they are and and why they should be known by any investor interested in investing in the Forex market.

What is leverage?

Leverage is a tool which allows to trade with large trading volumes using an amount of money (initial capital) much lower. This increases the potential of benefits but at the same time increase the risk of losses. The most usual leverage level provided by most Forex brokers is 1:100 and 1:200.

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