2018 was full of disappointment for commodities, contrary to expectations. Markets started the year with very high hopes, after upwardly revised growth projections in late 2017. As January and February are traditionally strong months for Gold, the strong demand noticed in the first quarter of 2017 helped the asset start 2018 in bullish mode.
In contrast to the forecasts, however, Gold markets bottomed out by the end of August at $1160 as it faced Dollar strength, mainly due to the Fed interest rate hikes. By the close of 2018 things changed as commodities perked higher, with Gold reversing more than 61.8% of the year’s losses.
Projections for 2019 point towards a bullish outlook for Gold on the perspective of a weaker year for the US Dollar. The slowdown in the global economy and the fact that policymakers are trying to focus on maintaining robust domestic growth momentum, as well as trade tensions and political jitters, leave the balance of risks to the downside.
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